The will try to defeat the for a fourth straight time on Sunday when they visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Buccaneers (8-3) lead the NFC South by three games, with Atlanta and New Orleans both at 5-6 entering Week 13. These teams met in Week 2, with Tampa Bay easing to a 48-25 victory behind five touchdown pa ses from . The former Patriot leads the NFL's top pa sing and scoring offense, while the Falcons yield the second-most points in the NFL. The Bucs rallied for a 38-31 victory against the last week, while the Falcons defeated the , 21-14. Kickoff from Atlanta is set James Hurst Jersey for 1 p.m. ET. The Bucs are 10.5-point favorites in the latest Buccaneers vs. Falcons odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is 50.5. Before you make any Falcons vs. Buccaneers picks, you need to .The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,100 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 13 of the 2021 season on an incredible 131-94 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. Now, the model has broken down Sunday's matchup from all Ryan Ramczyk Jersey angles and just revealed its coveted picks and NFL predictions. . Here are several and betting lines for Falcons vs. Buccaneers: Buccaneers vs. Falcons spread: Tampa Bay -10.5Buccaneers vs. Falcons: 50.5 pointsBuccaneers vs. Falcons money line: Tampa Bay -550, Atlanta +400TB: Buccaneers are 1-5 against the spread on the road after covering last weekATL: Falcons are 0-3 against the spread versus winning teams this season Featured Game | Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Moneyline Spread Total ATL TB Why the Buccaneers can coverTampa Bay is 4-0 against the spread as a double-digit favorite this season and Brady has never lost to the Falcons. He is 9-0, going 8-1 against the spread and winning five of the matchups by at least 14 points. The Bucs score 31.5 points per game to lead the NFL and Atlanta yields 27.5. Brady has a league-high 30 TD pa ses to go with 3,403 pa sing yards (second). Favorite target had 123 yards last week, while wideouts (67 catches for 808 yards) and Jonathan Vilma Jersey (640 yards, 10 TDs) are always dangerous.The Falcons allow almost 125 yards per game on the ground (24th in NFL), so could have another big day. The running back had a career-high four TDs and had 135 total yards against the Colts last week. The Bucs have struggled against the pa s, but remain No. 1 unit against the run (81 yards per game). That means will need to perform, and he threw three interceptions in the last meeting. The Bucs have 23 takeaways, fourth-most in the league, while the Falcons have just 11. Tampa Bay is 5-1 against the spread in its past Pete Werner Jersey six Week 13 games. Why the Falcons can coverRyan still has the skills to put up big numbers, but he has lacked weapons. The 14-year veteran quarterback has 2,617 yards and 16 TDs, and he can link up with tight end for big plays. The rookie leads the team with 45 catches for 661 yards (14.7 per reception). The health of also has been critical to the team's succe s. The receiver/running back had 135 total yards and two TDs in last week's victory. He has 911 total yards and nine TDs. Atlanta's offense is averaging 6.7 yards per play when he is on the field and 3.9 when he isn't. Ryan could surprise a Bucs secondary that has been ravaged by injuries and yielded 306 pa sing yards and three TDs last week against . The home team is 7-2 against the spread in the last nine meetings between the teams. had a sack last week to give him 3.5 in eight starts, and he has forced three fumbles. The Falcons are 8-9 ATS as an underdog the past two seasons.How to make Buccaneers vs. Falcons picksThe model has zeroed in on Sunday's Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay matchup, and is leaning Over Zach Wood Jersey on the point total, with the model saying the quarterbacks will combine for more than 500 pa sing yards. It also says that one side of the spread cashes in more than 50 percent of simulations. So who wins Falcons vs. Buccaneers on Sunday? And which side of the spread cashes more than 50 percent of the time? , and find out.